Catching a draft: on the process of selecting quarterbacks in the National Football League amateur draft

نویسندگان

  • David J. Berri
  • Rob Simmons
  • D. J. Berri
چکیده

The reverse order college draft gives the worst teams in the National Football League (NFL) the opportunity to hire the best amateur talent. For it to work effectively, teams must be able to identify the ‘‘best’’ talent. Our study of NFL quarterbacks highlights problems with the draft process. We find only a weak correlation between teams’ evaluations on draft day and subsequent quarterback performance in the NFL. Moreover, many of the factors that enhance a quarterback’s draft position are unrelated to future NFL performance. Our analysis highlights the difficulties in evaluating workers in the uncertain environment of professional sports.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The National Football League combine: a reliable predictor of draft status?

The performance of 326 collegiate football players attending the 2000 National Football League combine was studied to determine whether draft status could be predicted from performance measurements. The combine measured height and weight along with 9 performance tests: 225-lb bench press test, 10-yd dash, 20-yd dash, 40-yd dash, 20-yd proagility shuttle, 60-yd shuttle, 3-cone drill, broad jump,...

متن کامل

The Loser's Curse: Decision Making and Market Efficiency in the National Football League Draft

A of increasing interest to researchers in a variety of fields is whether the biases found in judgment and decision-making research remain present in contexts in which experienced participants face strong economic incentives. To investigate this question, we analyze the decision making of National Football League teams during their annual player draft. This is a domain in which monetary stakes ...

متن کامل

The Design of the Relationship Model for Trust in Coach and Dimensions of the Process of Teamwork in the First Division League of Football Clubs in Iran

 The aim of this study was to design a relationship model for trust in the coach and the dimensions of teamwork process in the first division league of Iran football clubs. The research method was descriptive-survey based on structural equation modeling that was conducted as a field experiment. The statistical population included all players of Iran football first division league in 2016 (N=450...

متن کامل

Lead Us Not into Tanktation: A Simulation Modelling Approach to Gain Insights into Incentives for Sporting Teams to Tank

Annual draft systems are the principal method used by teams in major sporting leagues to recruit amateur players. These draft systems frequently take one of three forms: a lottery style draft, a weighted draft, or a reverse-order draft. Reverse-order drafts can create incentives for teams to deliberately under-perform, or tank, due to the perceived gain from obtaining quality players at higher ...

متن کامل

Variables Affecting Return to Play After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury in the National Football League

BACKGROUND Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries are common in the National Football League (NFL). Limited literature exists regarding return to play (RTP) and the factors affecting RTP after ACL reconstruction in NFL players. PURPOSE/HYPOTHESIS To determine RTP rates after ACL reconstruction in NFL players and to ascertain which variables affect RTP in these players. We hypothesized that...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010